How to figure out if some action is +EV?
Posted: Mon Feb 26, 2024 9:15 am
Let's say that we want to know if our flop cbet/call line is +ev. At first we filter for the particular spot and get listed all hands where we've cbet/called. At the bottom we see the sum over all filtered situations - assume that it's negative. One might think that we are losing money in this spot because the expected value is negative, but that is not necessarily the case. If we lose less money by doing the action than folding, the action is correct and +ev (compared to folding). So how to figure out if some action is +ev? Is there any stat that keeps track of the money invested so far?