by kraada » Thu Aug 19, 2010 6:19 pm
Then you want to filter for Raise First In, not Any Raise - they're different filters which will result in different hands being included.
Also, the samples can be a lot smaller than you might think. If you RFI 10% (just to keep math simple), and everyone else also opens 10% of hands, and if you get 3-bet or otherwise don't get a chance to cbet 5% of the time:
Say we're playing 6-max:
UTG: 9.5% of hands you get dealt in you have a cbet opportunity (you RFI 10% and 95% of those you get to cbet so 9.5% of the time you get dealt a hand UTG you get a cbet opportunity).
HJ: 8.5% of hands you get dealt in you have a cbet opportunity (they RFI 10%, plus the above considerations)
CO: 7.7%
BTN: 7%
SB: 6.2%
BB: 5.5%
The average here is about 8.5% of hands. So if you had played 1000 hands you'd have about 85 cbet opportunities. You're a little wider - but you have more oppotunities, so that works out. It doesn't really sound that far off, you just need to remember you fold a lot of hands and sometimes even when you raise, you don't get a chance to cbet for one of a variety of reasons.